Kuva mu 2025, isoko rya sulfure mu gihugu ryahuye n’izamuka rikomeye ry’ibiciro, aho ibiciro byazamutse kuva kuri 1.500 yuan/toni mu ntangiriro z’umwaka bikagera kuri 3.800 yuan/toni ubu, ubwiyongere burenze 100%, bugera ku isonga rishya mu myaka ya vuba aha. Nk’ibikoresho by’ingenzi by’imiti, izamuka ry’ibiciro bya sulfure ryagize ingaruka zitaziguye ku ruhererekane rw’inganda, kandidioxyde sulfureIsoko, rikoresha sulfur nk'ibikoresho byaryo by'ibanze, ririmo guhura n'ikibazo gikomeye cy'ibiciro. Impamvu nyamukuru y'iyi gahunda yo kwiyongera kw'ibiciro ituruka ku busumbane bukomeye hagati y'ibitangwa n'ibikenewe ku isoko mpuzamahanga rya sulfur.

Gukomeza kugabanuka kw'ibicuruzwa mpuzamahanga byarushijeho kwiyongera bitewe n'impamvu nyinshi.

Itangwa rya sulfur ku isi rishingiye cyane ku bikomoka kuri peteroli na gaze. Itangwa rya sulfur ku isi yose mu 2024 ryari toni miliyoni 80.7, ariko itangwa ryagabanutse cyane muri uyu mwaka. Uburasirazuba bwo Hagati ni bwo butanga ibicuruzwa byinshi ku isi, bungana na 32%, ariko umutungo wabwo ugamije cyane cyane gutanga ibicuruzwa ku masoko mashya nka Indoneziya, bigatuma bigabanuka ku isoko ry’Ubushinwa.

Uburusiya, igihugu gisanzwe cyohereza hanze sulfure, cyigeze kugira 15%-20% by'umusaruro ku isi. Ariko, bitewe n'intambara hagati y'Uburusiya na Ukraine, umutekano w'ibikorwa byabwo byo gutunganya ibiribwa waragabanutse cyane, hafi 40% by'umusaruro wabyo wagizweho ingaruka. Ibyoherezwa mu mahanga byagabanutse biva kuri toni miliyoni 3.7 buri mwaka mbere ya 2022 bigera kuri toni miliyoni 1.5 muri 2023. Mu ntangiriro z'Ugushyingo 2025, hashyizweho itegeko ribuza kohereza ibicuruzwa mu mahanga, ribuza kohereza ibicuruzwa mu miryango itari mu Muryango w'Ubumwe bw'u Burayi kugeza mu mpera z'umwaka, rikomeza guhagarika inzira zimwe na zimwe zo kubitanga mu mahanga.

Byongeye kandi, gukoresha ingufu nshya mu gukwirakwiza ingufu byatumye ikoreshwa ry’ingufu gakondo nka lisansi na mazutu rigabanuka. Hamwe n’ibihugu bicukura peteroli bya OPEC+ byashyize mu bikorwa amasezerano yo kugabanya umusaruro wa peteroli, ubwiyongere bw’ingano y’ibikomoka kuri peteroli na gazi ku isi bwahagaze, kandi umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere bw’umusaruro w’ibikomoka kuri sulfure waragabanutse cyane. Hagati aho, inganda zimwe na zimwe zo muri Aziya yo Hagati zagabanyije cyane umusaruro wazo bitewe no kubungabunga cyangwa kugabanya ingano y’ibicuruzwa byari bisanzweho, birushaho kongera icyuho cy’ibicuruzwa ku isi.

Ibikenewe ku rwego mpuzamahanga biriyongera hamwe

Nubwo isoko rigenda rigabanuka, icyifuzo mpuzamahanga cya sulfure kirimo kugaragaza iterambere ry’imiterere. Indoneziya, nk'akarere k'ingenzi gasaba kwiyongera, ifite icyifuzo gikomeye cya sulfure gituruka ku mishinga yo gushongesha nickel-cobalt (ikoreshwa mu gukora ibikoresho bya batiri) n'ibigo byo mu gace nka Tsingshan na Huayou. Biteganijwe ko icyifuzo rusange kizarenga toni miliyoni 7 kuva mu 2025 kugeza 2027. Toni imwe y'umusaruro wa nickel isaba toni 10 za sulfure, bikayobya cyane isoko ku isi.

Ubukene bukomeye mu rwego rw'ubuhinzi nabwo butanga inkunga. Ubukene rusange bw'ifumbire ya fosifore buracyari mu gihe cy'ihinga ry'impeshyi, mu gihe sulfure ingana na 52.75% by'umusaruro w'ifumbire ya fosifore, bikongera ubusumbane mu isoko ry'ifumbire ya fosifore ku isi.

Isoko rya dioxyde de sulfur rigizweho ingaruka n'ikwirakwizwa ry'ibiciro

Sulfure ni yo mashini nyamukuru ikoreshwa mu gukoradioxyde sulfureHafi 60% by'ubushobozi bwo gukora dioxyde de sulfur mu Bushinwa bukoresha inzira zo gukora sulfur. Kwikuba kabiri kw'ibiciro bya sulfur byatumye ikiguzi cyo gukora cyazamuka mu buryo butaziguye.

Ishusho y'Isoko: Ibiciro biri hejuru ntibishobora guhinduka mu gihe gito

Mu gihe tureba mu 2026, uburinganire bw'ibicuruzwa n'ibikenewe ku isoko rya sulfure ntabwo bushobora kuzazamuka cyane. Ubushobozi bushya bw'umusaruro mpuzamahanga buragabanuka. Abasesenguzi bateganya ko, mu gihe hari icyizere, ibiciro bya sulfure bishobora kurenga 5.000 Yuan kuri toni mu 2026.

Kubera iyo mpamvu,dioxyde sulfureIsoko rishobora gukomeza kuzamuka mu ntera iri hagati. Hamwe na politiki zikomeye zo kubungabunga ibidukikije,dioxyde sulfureAbakora ibicuruzwa bafite inyungu mu buryo bw’ubukungu buzenguruka n’ubundi buryo bwo gukora ibindi bazabona amahirwe yo guhangana, kandi byitezwe ko inganda zizakomeza kwiyongera. Impinduka z’igihe kirekire mu miterere y’isoko ry’ibikomoka kuri sulfur ku isi zizakomeza kugira ingaruka ku giciro no ku irushanwa ry’uruhererekane rw’inganda zose.

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