Igihe kibi cyane kuriHeliyumuIbura rya 4.0 rigomba kuba rirangiye, ariko gusa iyo ibikorwa bihamye, kongera gutangiza no guteza imbere ibigo by'ingenzi by'imitsi hirya no hino ku isi bigezweho nk'uko byari biteganyijwe. Ibiciro bya stop nabyo bizakomeza kuba hejuru mu gihe gito.
Umwaka w'imbogamizi ku bicuruzwa, ubwiyongere bw'ibicuruzwa mu bwato n'izamuka ry'ibiciro hamwe n'intambara n'impanuka, imbogamizi ku buvuzi ndetse n'ubwiyongere bw'ibikenewe mu buryo bwa semiconductor byateje inkubi ikomeye ku bakoresha helium. Ku munsi wo gufungura inama ya MENA y'ibyuka by'inganda mu 2022 i Abu Dhabi, ubutumwa busobanutse neza buturuka ku isi yose ya helium n'uruhare rw'akarere ka MENA mu mikoranire y'ibicuruzwa ni uko hashobora kuba hari impamvu y'icyizere - haba binyuze mu bicuruzwa bishya cyangwa ubushobozi bwo kongera gukoresha ibikoresho n'amasoko.
ItsindaheliyumuIsoko ryahuye n’igitutu kidasanzwe, ahanini bitewe n’iturika rya gazi ku ruganda rukuru rwa Gazprom rwa New Amur. Niba rizasubira muri uyu mwaka (2023), rifite ubushobozi bwo gutanga umusanzu ukomeye mu gutanga no gufasha kugabanya ibiciro.
Mu by’ukuri, nk’uko Phil Kornbluth abivuga, umushinga wo gutunganya gazi wa Gazprom-Amur uzaba ari wo kintu kinini kizagira ingaruka kuriheliyumuisoko mu myaka ine iri imbere. Kornbluth yavuze ko izindi mpamvu zigira uruhare mu ibura rya Helium 4.0 ari ukubura kw'ishami rya BLM ryo kongera helium, gahunda yo kubungabunga muri Qatar, kohereza gaze muri Alijeriya igice kimwe cyavaga mu musaruro wa LNG, imiyoboro yo munsi y'amazi ijya i Burayi bitewe n'intambara ya Ukraine, ndetse na vuba aha igabanuka rya gaze ya Australia Feed ku ruganda rwa Darwin n'inkongi y'umuriro ku ruganda rutunganya gaze rwa Haven KS. Izamuka riciriritse ry'ibikenewe riri hagati ya 2-4%, bitewe n'ubwubatsi bushya bugezweho, n'ibikoresho by'ikoranabuhanga bisimbura MRI nk'ikoreshwa rikomeye - kwiyongera guciriritse kw'ibikenewe bizakomeza gusa.
Kuva hagati muri Mutarama kugeza hagati muri Kamena, ifumbire y'icyatsi kibisiheliyumuIbura ry’ingufu mu ishami rishinzwe imicungire y’ubutaka (CHEU) mu Kigo cy’Ubutaka cya Amerika (BLM) ryagabanyije itunganywa rya heliyumu ihumanya, bigabanya imyuka ikomoka ku bimera kugeza ku bintu bine by’ingenziheliyumuinganda zikora amazi, bigatuma 10% by'ibicuruzwa ku isi yose bikurwa ku isoko. Niba BLM ishobora gukomeza gukora neza, ikibi kuriHeliyumuIbura rya 4.0 rigomba kuba rirangiye kandi 2023 ishobora kuba umwaka wo guhinduka kugeza ku bunini, ariko byose biterwa n'igihe n'ingano y'umusaruro wa Amur.
Hashobora kubaho bimwe na bimweheliyumuikorwa rya Amur rizatangira hagati mu 2023, ariko haracyari byinshi bitazwi neza kuri ayo matariki. Birumvikana ko igihe cyo gutangira gushya cyatinzwe n'intambara yo muri Ukraine, kandi kubera ibihano, gutwara ibicuruzwa cyangwa amakontena yo kohereza ibicuruzwa biva muri Amur bizarushaho kugorana.
Kornbluth yavuze ko ibiciro by'amasezerano bizakomeza kuzamuka cyane, bitewe n'ihungabana ry'ibiciro ryaturutse muri Qatar na ExxonMobil, kandi ko ibiciro byagenwe bishobora gukomeza kwiyongera. Icyerekezo cyongeye kuba kibi cyane mu myaka mike iri imbere kandi gishingiye cyane ku mwaka uhamye wa 2023. Icyongera kwibandaho ni igihe uruganda rwa Amur ruzafungura burundu. Ibiciro bigomba kugabanuka igihe ibicuruzwa bya Amur bizaba bigeze ku isoko kandi ibicuruzwa bigomba kuba bihagije mu 2024, ariko bitewe n'uko hari ibitagenda neza ku bihano bya Ukraine n'Uburusiya, ibi ntabwo ari ukuri na gato,
Ku bijyanye n'icyerekezo, Kornbluth yatanze ibisobanuro birambuye ku mishinga ishobora kuvugurura ndetse n'ibintu bishobora kugira ingaruka ku isoko ku isi.heliyumuubucuruzi mu 2023 kandi amaherezo bikazahagarika ibura rya Helium 4.0.
Irkutsk Petroleum Company irimo gutangiza uruganda rwayo rushya rwa Yaraktinsky. Ni uruganda rupima metero kibe miliyoni 250 ku mwaka. Ibyo ntibihagije kugira ngo ikibazo cy'ubukene gike kigere ku musaruro wuzuye, ariko bizatanga ihumure. “Ku bijyanye n'icyerekezo cy'igihembwe cya mbere cya 2023, Gazprom imaze iminsi ibwira abantu ko biteze ko gari ya moshi yabo ya mbere izaba iri mu kwezi kwa Mata naho gari ya moshi ya kabiri ikaba iri mu mezi make gusa. Ariko kuba Gazprom yaravuze ko izatangira muri Mata, ntibivuze ko bizaba. Kugeza icyo gihe,heliyumuIsoko rizakomeza kugurishwa cyane. Bane muri batanu bakomeye ba helium barimo gutanga ibikoresho, nubwo rimwe na rimwe, kuva aho ijanisha rya BLM Allocation ryiyongereye kuva aho ryongeye gutangiza CHEU.
“Muri rusange, igihe kibi cyane cy’ubukene gishobora kuba cyarangiye. Ariko biterwa n’igihe n’ingano y’umusaruro wa Amur. Amur nidatangira, tuzaba dufite ubukene mu mwaka usigaye wa 2023. Amur nitangira muri Mata, gari ya moshi ya kabiri ikaza nyuma y’amezi abiri kandi ikaba ikora neza, twagombye kubona ihumure ku bukene.
Amaherezo, ikibazo gikunze kubazwa - ni ryariHeliyumuIbura rya 4.0 rirarangiye? Igisubizo kuri ibi ni cyiza, amezi 9 kugeza kuri 12 uhereye ubu. Tugomba kongera kwibanda kuri Amur muri 2023/24. Ku bijyanye n'intambara ya Ukraine, kohereza heliyumu y'amazi kugeza ubu byarekuweho ibihano. Guhera muri Mutarama, kohereza heliyumu mu Burusiya ntibyafatiwe ibihano. Birumvikana ko ibi bishobora guhinduka igihe icyo ari cyo cyose, kandi niba ibihano byari kubuza abafatanyabikorwa ba Gazprom kuzuza amasezerano yabo, bishobora kugabanya no gutinza ingaruka z'itangwa rya Amur ku isoko mpuzamahanga no kwaguka.HeliyumuIbura rya 4.0 kugeza mu 2024.
Igihe cyo kohereza ubutumwa: Werurwe-01-2023
