Igihe kibi cyane kuriHeliumIbura rya 4.0 rigomba kurangira, ariko mugihe gusa imikorere ihamye, gutangira no kuzamura ibigo byingenzi byimyororokere kwisi bigerwaho nkuko byateganijwe.Ibiciro by'ahantu nabyo bizakomeza kuba hejuru mugihe gito.
Umwaka wo kugabanuka kw'ibicuruzwa, umuvuduko w'ubwikorezi hamwe n'izamuka ry'ibiciro hamwe n'intambara n'impanuka, imbogamizi za sisitemu z'ubuzima ndetse no kwiyongera kwa semiconductor byateje umuyaga mwiza ku bakora helium.Ku munsi wo gufungura inama ya MENA y’inganda 2022 yabereye Abu Dhabi, ubutumwa busobanutse bwa helium ku isi ndetse n’uruhare rw’akarere ka MENA mu ruhererekane rw’ibicuruzwa ni uko hashobora kubaho impamvu zimwe zicyizere - haba mu bicuruzwa bishya cyangwa ubushobozi bwo gutunganya ibicuruzwa n’isoko kwiteza imbere.
Uwitekaheliumisoko ryahuye n’igitutu kitigeze kibaho, ahanini bitewe n’iturika rya gaze ku ruganda rukomeye rwa Gazprom.Niba ikize muri uyu mwaka (2023), ifite ubushobozi bwo gutanga umusanzu ukomeye mugutanga no gufasha ibiciro biciriritse.
Nkako, nk'uko Phil Kornbluth abivuga, umushinga wo gutunganya gaz Gazprom-Amur uzaba ikintu kimwe rukumbi kigira ingaruka kuriheliumisoko mu myaka ine iri imbere.Kornbluth yavuze ko izindi mpamvu zagize uruhare mu ibura rya Helium 4.0 ari ihagarikwa ry’ishami rishinzwe gutunganya ubutunzi bwa helium rya BLM, guteganya kubungabunga Qatar, kohereza gaze muri Alijeriya igice kiva mu musaruro wa LNG, imiyoboro y’amazi yerekeza mu Burayi kubera amakimbirane yo muri Ukraine, ndetse na Ositaraliya iherutse Kugaburira gaze kugabanuka ku ruganda rwa Darwin n'umuriro ku ruganda rutunganya gaze ya Haven KS.Ubwiyongere bukenewe bwiyongera bugera kuri 2-4%, biterwa nubwubatsi bushya bwa fab, hamwe na electronics irenga MRI nkibikorwa byambere - kwiyongera gukenewe bizakomeza gusa.
Kuva hagati Mutarama kugeza hagati muri Kamena, ibicuruzwaheliumishami rishinzwe gutunganya (CHEU) ibura muri Biro ishinzwe imicungire y’ubutaka muri Amerika (BLM) ryagabanyije ubutunzi bwa helium, bigabanya gaze y’amatungo kugeza kuri bineheliumibihingwa byamazi, bivamo kugereranya 10% kwisi yose bivanwa kumasoko.Niba BLM ishobora gukomeza gukora neza, ibibi kuriHeliumIbura rya 4.0 rigomba kuba rirangiye kandi 2023 ishobora kuba umwaka winzibacyuho itangwa ryinshi, ariko byose biterwa nigihe nubunini bwumusaruro wa Amur.“
Hashobora kubaho bimweheliumumusaruro kuri Amur guhera hagati ya 2023, ariko haracyari byinshi bidashidikanywaho kuri ayo matariki.Birumvikana ko igihe cyo gutangira cyatinze kubera intambara yo muri Ukraine, kandi kubera ibihano, ibikoresho byoherejwe n’ibicuruzwa cyangwa ibicuruzwa biva muri Amur bizagorana.“
Kornbluth yavuze ko ibiciro by'amasezerano bizakomeza kuzamuka cyane, bitewe n’ihungabana ry’ibiciro byaturutse muri Qatar na ExxonMobil, kandi ibiciro by’ibibanza bishobora gukomeza kuzamuka.Icyerekezo cyongeye kuba mubi mumyaka mike iri imbere kandi gishingiye cyane cyane kuri 2023. Icyibandwaho na none ni igihe amaherezo uruganda rwa Amur ruzafungura.Ibiciro bigomba koroshya mugihe Amur itanze isoko kandi ibicuruzwa bigomba kuba bihagije mumwaka wa 2024, ariko urebye ukutamenya neza ibihano bya Ukraine nu Burusiya ibi ntibiri mubintu byukuri,
Kubireba uko ibintu bimeze, Kornbluth yatanze ibisobanuro birambuye kubijyanye no kuvugurura umushinga hamwe nisoko rishobora kugira ingaruka ku isiheliumubucuruzi muri 2023 kandi amaherezo arangiza Ubuke bwa Helium 4.0.
Uruganda rwa peteroli rwa Irkutsk rutangiza uruganda rwabo rushya rwa Yaraktinsky.Ni metero kibe miliyoni 250 kumurima.Ibyo ntibihagije kugirango urangize ibura iyo ikubise ubushobozi bwuzuye, ariko bizatanga ihumure.Ati: “Ku bijyanye n'icyerekezo cy'igihembwe cya mbere cya 2023, Gazprom yabwiye abantu vuba aha ko biteze ko gari ya moshi yabo ya mbere izaba muri Mata naho gari ya moshi ya kabiri ikazatinda amezi make.Ariko kubera ko Gazprom yavuze ko izatangira muri Mata, ntabwo bivuze ko bizabaho.Kugeza icyo gihe ,.heliumisoko rizakomeza kugurishwa.Bane muri batanu bakomeye ba helium batanga ibikoresho, nubwo rimwe na rimwe, kuva ijanisha rya BLM ryiyongereye kuva yatangira CHEU. ”
Ati: "Muri rusange, ibibi mu gihe cy'ibura birashoboka ko byarangiye.Ariko biterwa nigihe nigipimo cyumusaruro wa Amur.Niba Amur idatangiye, tuzagira ikibazo cyo kubura muri 2023. Niba Amur itangiye muri mata na gari ya moshi ya kabiri ikaza nyuma y'amezi abiri kandi ikagenda neza rwose noneho tugomba kubona ubutabazi buke.
Hanyuma, ikibazo gikunze kubazwa - igihe kizaberaHeliumIbura 4.0 rirangira?Igisubizo cyibi nicyizere, amezi 9 kugeza 12 uhereye ubu.Tugomba kongera kwibanda kuri Amur muri 2023/24.Ku bijyanye n'intambara yo muri Ukraine, ibicuruzwa byoherezwa mu mahanga bya helium kugeza ubu bisonewe ibihano.Kuva muri Mutarama, Uburusiya bwoherezwa mu mahanga helium ntabwo bwahaniwe.Birumvikana ko iki kibazo gishobora guhinduka igihe icyo ari cyo cyose, kandi niba ibihano biramutse bibujije abafatanyabikorwa ba Gazprom kubahiriza amasezerano, bishobora kugabanya no gutinza ingaruka zitangwa na Amur ku isoko ryisi kandi bikagukaHeliumUbuke 4.0 kugeza 2024. “
Igihe cyo kohereza: Werurwe-01-2023
